An opinion poll for YouGov published on Sunday found, quite incredibly, that support for the Conservatives across the UK as a whole is at 45%, up 1% since the last YouGov poll. Support for Labour has decreased by 3% to 35%. https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1267209302076465152 Read it and weep. No, really. It makes you want to weep. It means that 45% of the UK population have come round to the fact that the Tories couldn’t care less if we live or die, and they’re OK with that. At which you can only wonder, what is wrong with these people, and then you look at the photos in the news of crowded beaches and people having a punch up and you kind of know why.
The fact that despite all that has happened over the past couple of months there has been no significant impact on voting intentions in the UK as a whole can only mean that there is a considerable number of people who have looked at 60,000 corpses, have seen a man who’s the living embodiment of selfish entitlement lying through his teeth to them about how to do an eye test, have read about one cock up after another in the handling of the epidemic, and have thought to themselves about the political party responsible, “Yeah, I’ll have me some of what they’re selling.” Because VE Day, Dunkirk spirit, isn’t Her Maj maaaaaavelous, bunting, and muddling through.
Even more incredibly, more people in the UK think think that Boris Johnson would make a better Prime Minister than Labour’s Keir Starmer. 37% prefer Johnson, 32% prefer Starmer. This is despite the clear evidence of Johnson’s lies, fnaughing, stumbling and mumbling. This is a man who can barely begin a sentence never mind finish one. His idea of preparation is to look at himself in a mirror and artfully tousle his hair. My dog would make a better Prime Minister than Johnson. He might currently be lying on the rug in the living room and licking his balls, but he’s never lied, cheated and deceived.
Labour’s new leader Keir Starmer is not breaking through to the public. He’s not, despite the claims of the Labour old guard, cutting through in a way that Jeremy Corbyn never could. So that’ll be you telt, Ian Murray. Ian’s obsession with preventing independence at all costs is only condemning Scotland to another decade of lethal Tory rule. It won’t stop him waving his union flag and blaming all our ills on Thatessempee though.
The only way that Labour have a hope in hell of taking back votes from independence supporters in Scotland is to offer them the real prospect of a Labour government replacing the Tories in Westminster. That’s not happening. Labour still can’t make a dent in the Conservatives’ lead in the polls after a week in which Dominic Cummings has told everyone that he was only going for a drive to test his eyesight and traduced all the sacrifices that everyone else has made during this crisis, while Boris Johnson’s response is to insist that he acted with integrity. Despite all the evidence that the Conservatives are lying, mendacious, smug, incompetent, chaotic, and hell bent on a no deal Brexit that’s only going to compound all the current economic difficulties, Labour still is unable to make the kind of substantial gains in polling numbers that could credibly point to them overtaking the Conservatives in England.
But even if they could, even if the Labour party was able to translate the Conservatives’ manifest unfitness to manage a shuckster’s stall in a street market flogging off dodgy knock-offs into electoral support, nothing would change in the longer term. Those of us who are older and more bitter remember how we longed for a Labour government all the way through the 1980s and 1990s to save us from the nightmare of Margaret Thatcher. We got Tony Blair who found a winning formula by dressing Labour in Tory drag. And then the natural Conservatism of the English electorate reasserted itself and we were back to Tory governments again. And this is the very best that we can hope for within the Westminster system. I don’t want a temporary relief from the nightmares that the Westminster Conservatives inflict upon us. I want it to stop for good.
Yet there’s not going to be another Westminster General Election for four years. We’re stuck with Johnson and his band of liars, careerists, and charlatans. They’ve got a crushing majority in the Commons and plenty of time to wreck even more damage on the body politic. And within the confines of the UK there is absolutely nothing that we can do to stop them, to hold them in check, or to hold them to account. We are dealing here with people who have absolutely no shame, and who treat ordinary people entirely transactionally. We are simply pawns in their games of personal advancement.
And this, dear reader, is why UK is so so screwed and the only possible hope for Scotland is to get ourselves out of this shitshow as fast as our hairy wee Caledonian legs can carry us. Even after everything that’s happened, after the highest death toll in Europe, the highest per capita death toll in the world, after a Government which plays jenga with public health provision and which is comprised of serial liars, charlatans, incompetents, and careerists, there is still as much chance of a Labour government after the next Westminster election as there is of the Scottish Conservatives turning up for an interview when their Westminster colleagues have been making tits of themselves again.
The good news is that more people in Scotland appear to be reaching the same conclusion. I’ve not been able to locate the data for this latest YouGov poll, but based on this poll @Polling_GB https://twitter.com/Polling_GB/status/1267421987376443392 gives a seat projection of 58 for the SNP, meaning the party of independence would take all but one of the Westminster constituency seats in Scotland. Whatever is in the KoolAid that the Tories are serving up south of the Border, people in Scotland are not buying it. Scotland can’t save the UK from its willingness to be lied to, we can only escape from it.
We have an election in Scotland next year. It’s all the more imperative that voters in Scotland return a large majority for pro-independence parties in the next Scottish election and we ensure that we have another independence referendum as soon as possible. It’s the only way out of this nightmare. Achieving our goal will require focus, self-discipline, energy and commitment, but increasingly the independence movement is pushing against the open door of public opinion. Scotland wants change. Scotland wants rid of the Tories. Scotland wants a country where the political class can be held to account. Only independence offers any of that.
James Kelly of Scot Goes Pop is crowdfunding to conduct a full poll of Scottish voting intention and support for independence. He’s only a short way from reaching his target, just a few more pounds is all that’s needed. Please give him some support. Right now we’re desperately in need of a proper survey of Scottish opinion.
And finally, because we could all do with a laugh during these difficult times …
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